Water FractalTier 2
at 貓腳印士林店GA店家冠軍賽 RDO ver.
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.2%
avg ELO -6.3 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1271
· median 1271
· range 1271–1271
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1136
Q1 1256
Q3 1403
1542
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Fractal decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
